PolymarketPoliticsOpen
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
98.1¢
Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 98.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?" settle?
- Closes 2026-11-04. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will…
Odds history
200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
hard deadline July 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will…
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- When
- Closes 2026-11-04.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 98¢ you pay $0.14 in fees on Kalshi
0.14¢ per contract · 102 contracts
On $100 at 98¢ you pay $0.10 in fees on Polymarket US
0.10¢ per contract · 102 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Why the board stays free
Data: Polymarket id 0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3 · ← All tracked markets