SOLD No $44 @ 99.8¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0xa5e3…4d7e · “peepeepooppoop” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xa5e3…4d7e — 524–1014 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xa5e3…4d7e is 524–1014 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-05-18: 1538 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$1,014,730 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 524 | 1014 | 0 | 6609 | 1484 |
| Other | 191 | 422 | 0 | 2600 | 410 |
| Sports | 223 | 322 | 0 | 1939 | 238 |
| Politics | 81 | 202 | 0 | 1599 | 776 |
| Culture | 16 | 24 | 0 | 208 | 9 |
| Economy | 7 | 28 | 0 | 153 | 25 |
| Crypto | 3 | 8 | 0 | 54 | 11 |
| Tech | 3 | 7 | 0 | 43 | 11 |
| Weather | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: −$134 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-05-18; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
SOLD No $25,713 @ 99.9¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $77 @ 96.4¢ — Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 99.5¢ — Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $12 @ 97.5¢ — Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $37 @ 97.8¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $97 @ 97.2¢ — Ramp IPO before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $436 @ 96.1¢ — Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $208 @ 97.7¢ — Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $238 @ 98¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $93 @ 98.3¢ — Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $37 @ 98.2¢ — Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 98.8¢ — Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 98.9¢ — Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 99.8¢ — Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $132 @ 99¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $169 @ 99.7¢ — Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $60 @ 99.9¢ — Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $632 @ 94¢ — Trump out as President before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $121 @ 96.8¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 96.9¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $141 @ 96.9¢ — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 96.5¢ — Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $44 @ 96.2¢ — Will Trump Airport become law this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $274 @ 98.8¢ — Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 98.9¢ — Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $53 @ 99.6¢ — Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $42 @ 99.9¢ — Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $77 @ 97¢ — Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $96 @ 99.6¢ — Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Colts $152 @ 29¢ — Colts vs. Chiefs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Chiefs correct ✓BOUGHT Colts $11 @ 28¢ — Colts vs. Chiefs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Chiefs incorrect ✗BOUGHT Colts $90 @ 28¢ — Colts vs. Chiefs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Chiefs incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $742 @ 4¢ — Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21 @ 10¢ — Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 3.6¢ — Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $132 @ 10.8¢ — Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6 @ 99.3¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,421 @ 99.3¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 97.7¢ — Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $97 @ 97¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $273 @ 97.5¢ — Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $100 @ 97¢ — Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $198 @ 99.1¢ — Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $102 @ 99.8¢ — Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $682 @ 99.3¢ — Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $194 @ 97.2¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $106 @ 97¢ — Obama arrested before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 99.3¢ — Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $77 @ 97.3¢ — Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $35 @ 97.3¢ — Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $255 @ 97.5¢ — Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $96 @ 97.6¢ — Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $505 @ 98.2¢ — Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $392 @ 98¢ — Will GTA 6 cost $100+? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 97.6¢ — Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 96.7¢ — Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $24 @ 97¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $31 @ 97.2¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $78 @ 97.6¢ — Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $31 @ 98.1¢ — Will Republicans sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 98.2¢ — Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 98.9¢ — Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $153 @ 99.4¢ — Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $103 @ 99.6¢ — Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $21 @ 99.5¢ — Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 99.7¢ — Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $131 @ 98.7¢ — Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 99.6¢ — Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 99.4¢ — Will Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99.8¢ — 2026 Balance of Power: Other
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $157 @ 98¢ — Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $98 @ 98.2¢ — Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $98 @ 98¢ — Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $135 @ 96.7¢ — Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $41 @ 99.4¢ — Will Rachaad White be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $41 @ 99.7¢ — Will Alvin Kamara be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $41 @ 99.7¢ — Will Zach Charbonnet be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 96.1¢ — Will Ray Davis be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 97.5¢ — Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $49 @ 97.7¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 97.8¢ — Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $78 @ 97.7¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $80 @ 98.5¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $67 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $52 @ 98.4¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $356 @ 98.3¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $78 @ 98.4¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 98.9¢ — Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $50 @ 99.3¢ — Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $199 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40 @ 99.8¢ — Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $613 @ 61.3¢ — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 50¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 8 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 89¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 8 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $75 @ 88¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 8 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23 @ 97¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 11 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $24 @ 93.8¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 9 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $73 @ 87.8¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 8 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $332 @ 79.6¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 9 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $792 @ 99¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 7 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $990 @ 99¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 7 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,793 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 7 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $36 @ 36.1¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 10¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 9 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36 @ 89¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 7 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $552 @ 99¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 6 hours? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $15 @ 74¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 9 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,676 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $16 @ 75¢ — NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 22¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 45¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6 @ 20.2¢ — Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 97.8¢ — Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $500 @ 99.8¢ — Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $20 @ 99.9¢ — Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $308 @ 98.9¢ — Xavier Legette: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $100 @ 99¢ — Marvin Harrison Jr.: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99¢ — Tetairoa McMillan: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99¢ — Trey McBride: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $305 @ 98.9¢ — Michael Wilson: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99¢ — Bryce Young: Anytime Touchdown (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 99.7¢ — Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $54 @ 4.3¢ — NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $106 @ 42.6¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 0.1¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $133 @ 1.3¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,003 @ 72.8¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 0.1¢ — Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 0.1¢ — Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11 @ 27.4¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 2¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 1.6¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $51 @ 1.7¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $34 @ 2.2¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $26 @ 0.3¢ — Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25 @ 0.3¢ — Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 0.3¢ — Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $24 @ 0.3¢ — Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 0.1¢ — Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 0.1¢ — Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 0.1¢ — Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 0.1¢ — Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 0.1¢ — Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 0.1¢ — Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 0.1¢ — Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 0.1¢ — Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14 @ 0.1¢ — Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 0.1¢ — Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 0.1¢ — Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $16 @ 0.1¢ — Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 0.1¢ — Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 0.1¢ — Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 0.1¢ — Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 0.1¢ — Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $78 @ 1¢ — Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $226 @ 1.3¢ — Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $49 @ 2.5¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $815 @ 99¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $264 @ 99.9¢ — Lionel Messi: 1+ shots (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 99.9¢ — Nico Williams: 1+ assists (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,520 @ 99.8¢ — Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,746 @ 99.9¢ — Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,030 @ 98.8¢ — Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 98.2¢ — Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $31 @ 99.1¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26 @ 99.1¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $89 @ 99¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $236 @ 99¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $78 @ 98.8¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $301 @ 99¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $80 @ 99.4¢ — Will "Vogue" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $126 @ 99.5¢ — Will "Vogue" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $100 @ 99.7¢ — Will "Dynamite" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $40 @ 98.9¢ — Will "Waka Waka" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 99.9¢ — Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $82 @ 99¢ — Harry Kane: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $195 @ 99.9¢ — Harry Kane: 2+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $250 @ 99.9¢ — Harry Kane: 2+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 93¢ — Harry Kane: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $808 @ 92.9¢ — Harry Kane: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $66 @ 89.6¢ — Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $135 @ 89.7¢ — Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 42¢ — Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,442 @ 99.9¢ — Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 64.5¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 66¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $44 @ 65.7¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 99.4¢ — Will Beth Andres-Beck be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 98¢ — Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 15¢ — Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Jana Bojovic $1 @ 55¢ — ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Jana Bojovic vs Petra Konjikusic (opens in a new tab)
resolved Petra Konjikusic incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $37 @ 2¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $16 @ 0.3¢ — Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 0.1¢ — Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $27 @ 0.5¢ — Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $12 @ 0.74¢ — Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36 @ 90¢ — Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $302 @ 67.5¢ — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 17.2¢ — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $59 @ 17.2¢ — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 97.7¢ — Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $29 @ 98.9¢ — Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $198 @ 99.1¢ — Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $266 @ 98.2¢ — Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $256 @ 99.2¢ — Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 99¢ — Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $37 @ 99.5¢ — Will Vasco da Gama win Brazil Série A? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40 @ 99.4¢ — Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $3 @ 96.1¢ — Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $95 @ 99.4¢ — Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 99.5¢ — Will Juan Soto lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 99.7¢ — Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $225 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $29 @ 99.9¢ — Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $55 @ 99.9¢ — Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $63 @ 93¢ — Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $73 @ 97.5¢ — Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $44 @ 57.2¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $206 @ 59¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $489 @ 55.7¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,740 @ 99.7¢ — Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $768 @ 94.3¢ — Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Argentina $9,325 @ 93.2¢ — England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $10 @ 6.2¢ — England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $10 @ 5.5¢ — England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 32.6¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Belgium $3,976 @ 99.4¢ — United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $266 @ 99.9¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 99.7¢ — Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $5 @ 99.9¢ — Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40 @ 99.9¢ — Will Hunter Greene strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $472 @ 99.5¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $16 @ 80.3¢ — Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,664 @ 99.9¢ — Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $3 @ 61¢ — Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $149 @ 74.5¢ — Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $132 @ 22¢ — Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Nothing $798 @ 99¢ — Nothing Ever Happens: May (opens in a new tab)
resolved Nothing correct ✓BOUGHT No $149 @ 99.9¢ — SAVE Act becomes law by May 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.3¢ — Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 98.5¢ — Will President Trump sign less than 5 pieces of legislation into law in May? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47 @ 20¢ — Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 38.2¢ — Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 20¢ — Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $258 @ 36.9¢ — Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 16.1¢ — Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $10 @ 9¢ — Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $226 @ 91.6¢ — Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $134 @ 91.6¢ — Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $399 @ 30¢ — Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $9 @ 0.8¢ — 2026 Balance of Power: Other
open — unrealizedSOLD No $41 @ 98.9¢ — Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $93 @ 99.5¢ — Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $117 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 35.9¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 35.9¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 35.2¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 35.2¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $54 @ 86.8¢ — Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Manziel $31 @ 76¢ — Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery (opens in a new tab)
resolved Manziel correct ✓BOUGHT Manziel $8 @ 77¢ — Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery (opens in a new tab)
resolved Manziel correct ✓BOUGHT Manziel $296 @ 72.9¢ — Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery (opens in a new tab)
resolved Manziel correct ✓SOLD No $37 @ 82¢ — Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $38 @ 99.5¢ — Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 99.6¢ — Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $138 @ 99.6¢ — Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 76¢ — Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 2? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $37 @ 59.5¢ — Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 2? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $3 @ 99.4¢ — Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $146 @ 99.5¢ — Will Rodrygo be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $37 @ 53¢ — Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $26 @ 51¢ — Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $6 @ 27.4¢ — Will Trump say "Epstein" in May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $107 @ 66.3¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $34 @ 66.2¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $73 @ 66.3¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $98 @ 54.9¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $114 @ 66.9¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $36 @ 71.2¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $121 @ 71.2¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 49.7¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $953 @ 33¢ — Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $12 @ 39¢ — Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $26 @ 87¢ — Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $115 @ 82.4¢ — Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 27¢ — Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 95.5¢ — Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $34 @ 42¢ — Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 69¢ — Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $6 @ 79¢ — Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $182 @ 79¢ — Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $65 @ 79¢ — Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 96¢ — Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $192 @ 96¢ — Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $192 @ 96¢ — Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 96.1¢ — Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xa5e3044fd953605f9407d58c76e48fd75a394d7e · ← All whale receipts