SOLD Yes $64 @ 54.7¢ — Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0xb1ca…1705 · “InterestingUser” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xb1ca…1705 — 211–184 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xb1ca…1705 is 211–184 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-09-04: 395 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$340,653 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 211 | 184 | 0 | 2254 | 2049 |
| Other | 106 | 76 | 0 | 807 | 664 |
| Politics | 84 | 96 | 0 | 1253 | 1133 |
| Economy | 10 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 57 |
| Tech | 7 | 6 | 0 | 80 | 142 |
| Culture | 3 | 3 | 0 | 60 | 43 |
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Weather | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$67,597 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2026-09-04; the newest 300 shown.
- resolved No correct ✓
BOUGHT Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $419 @ 74.5¢ — Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $315 @ 43.8¢ — Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $431 @ 98.4¢ — Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $64 @ 8.9¢ — Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $442 @ 97.3¢ — Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 83¢ — Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $169 @ 89.8¢ — Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $24 @ 18.7¢ — Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,228 @ 70¢ — Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $301 @ 94¢ — Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $349 @ 98.2¢ — Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,165 @ 77¢ — Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $928 @ 95¢ — Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $102 @ 94¢ — First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 95¢ — Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $745 @ 96¢ — Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $72 @ 97¢ — Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $426 @ 96.6¢ — Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $141 @ 97.4¢ — Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,369 @ 98.4¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $604 @ 98.8¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $410 @ 98.9¢ — Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,880 @ 99.1¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $16 @ 99.2¢ — Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $13 @ 98.9¢ — Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $492 @ 99¢ — Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,018 @ 99¢ — Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $246 @ 99.5¢ — Will Nioh 3 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14,450 @ 85¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 57¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $121 @ 23.3¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $146 @ 98.1¢ — Will Mario Delgado Carrillo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $163 @ 98.5¢ — Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $95 @ 80.8¢ — Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $85 @ 98.8¢ — Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $565 @ 99.4¢ — Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $366 @ 98.8¢ — Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $275 @ 99¢ — Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $73 @ 98.8¢ — Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $109 @ 99.6¢ — Will Ntombi Nama be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $339 @ 96.6¢ — Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $100 @ 95¢ — Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $126 @ 90¢ — Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $38 @ 94¢ — Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $19 @ 97¢ — Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $36 @ 97.9¢ — Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $59 @ 98.6¢ — Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $65 @ 99.7¢ — Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 99.4¢ — Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 50% or more? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $946 @ 99.6¢ — Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $60 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $74 @ 99.5¢ — Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $376 @ 99.7¢ — Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $82 @ 99.6¢ — Will Igor Hubáček win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $61 @ 99.7¢ — First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 98.5¢ — Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $92 @ 40.9¢ — Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26 @ 11.4¢ — Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,464 @ 80.3¢ — Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49 @ 12¢ — Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 12.6¢ — Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $98 @ 51.1¢ — Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $818 @ 63¢ — Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9 @ 7.4¢ — Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $500 @ 91.7¢ — Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $481 @ 93¢ — Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,841 @ 92.1¢ — Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $397 @ 78¢ — Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $60 @ 97.2¢ — Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $515 @ 97.3¢ — Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $36 @ 17.3¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $173 @ 98.6¢ — Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,011 @ 99.3¢ — Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $61 @ 99.4¢ — Will there be a power grid emergency in New England before October 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $525 @ 99.6¢ — Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $226 @ 99.1¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $40 @ 99.3¢ — Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,774 @ 81.9¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,045 @ 29.4¢ — Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $427 @ 91¢ — Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $89 @ 89¢ — Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $151 @ 84¢ — Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43 @ 72¢ — Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $50 @ 70.8¢ — Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $294 @ 65.6¢ — Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $79 @ 96.1¢ — Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 85¢ — Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $98 @ 60¢ — Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $95 @ 56¢ — Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $641 @ 92.6¢ — Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $339 @ 49.5¢ — Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 52¢ — Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13 @ 7.8¢ — Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $33 @ 83¢ — Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $489 @ 74¢ — Will Frank Ocean be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $341 @ 74.7¢ — Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $231 @ 67.5¢ — Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $143 @ 59.5¢ — Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $338 @ 16.6¢ — Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $94 @ 13¢ — Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $363 @ 16.3¢ — Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $108 @ 25.3¢ — Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $461 @ 19.4¢ — Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 40¢ — Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 8.4¢ — Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $41 @ 7.5¢ — Will Liu Chien-kuo win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $174 @ 9.2¢ — Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $169 @ 12.1¢ — Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $254 @ 15.8¢ — Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 17¢ — Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $257 @ 24.6¢ — Will Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $302 @ 20¢ — Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $629 @ 23.1¢ — Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13 @ 19.2¢ — Will Tsao Erh-yuan win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $165 @ 10.4¢ — Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $144 @ 31.7¢ — Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $331 @ 53.4¢ — Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $181 @ 63¢ — Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $29 @ 15¢ — Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $170 @ 86.1¢ — Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $146 @ 10.1¢ — Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $922 @ 84¢ — Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 6.4¢ — Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $31 @ 51¢ — Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $70 @ 22¢ — Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $295 @ 73¢ — Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $88 @ 40.6¢ — Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,153 @ 69.2¢ — Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,247 @ 28.5¢ — Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 49¢ — Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $291 @ 69.5¢ — Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $279 @ 63.2¢ — Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 8.9¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,032 @ 77.4¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,251 @ 74.2¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $29 @ 8¢ — Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $57 @ 7.5¢ — Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,339 @ 45.6¢ — Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $114 @ 81.9¢ — Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $61 @ 68¢ — Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $40 @ 12.4¢ — Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $261 @ 65.2¢ — Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $72 @ 21.1¢ — Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $64 @ 21.2¢ — Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $247 @ 61¢ — Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 2.5¢ — Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $118 @ 65.8¢ — Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 13.1¢ — Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $458 @ 92.2¢ — Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $216 @ 23.8¢ — Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $294 @ 49.2¢ — Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $335 @ 89.4¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $41 @ 78.3¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 3.8¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 12¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $251 @ 67.6¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $469 @ 38.6¢ — Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $186 @ 96¢ — Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $58 @ 93¢ — Will Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 96.1¢ — Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,147 @ 98.9¢ — Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $40 @ 12.8¢ — Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $357 @ 81.5¢ — Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,856 @ 39.7¢ — Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $749 @ 88¢ — Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $768 @ 27.3¢ — Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $536 @ 10.5¢ — Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10 @ 11¢ — Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $581 @ 65.7¢ — Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $272 @ 52.4¢ — Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $24 @ 4.1¢ — Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,000 @ 80¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,557 @ 82.4¢ — Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $282 @ 97.1¢ — Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,491 @ 86.4¢ — Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $880 @ 83.3¢ — Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $311 @ 81¢ — SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $98 @ 88¢ — Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,711 @ 95.5¢ — Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 90¢ — Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $411 @ 95.5¢ — Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $314 @ 92¢ — SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $375 @ 9.9¢ — Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,550 @ 85¢ — US strike on Cuba by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,924 @ 96.2¢ — Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $114 @ 16.5¢ — Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $72 @ 48¢ — Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $361 @ 48.9¢ — Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,007 @ 86.6¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $259 @ 90.4¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 7¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,641 @ 86.8¢ — Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $548 @ 28.4¢ — Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,202 @ 83.7¢ — Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $162 @ 89¢ — Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $72 @ 98.1¢ — Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,812 @ 93¢ — Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $95 @ 76¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,251 @ 95¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 15.4¢ — Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $90 @ 99¢ — Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,554 @ 94.2¢ — Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $303 @ 95¢ — Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,560 @ 74.6¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,189 @ 94¢ — US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $598 @ 93¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,683 @ 94¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,088 @ 93¢ — Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $206 @ 95.3¢ — Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,896 @ 76¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.9¢ — Will Vusimuzi Soqaga be the next mayor of Mangaung? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.8¢ — Will Motshewa Tladi be the next mayor of Mangaung? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $46 @ 88.6¢ — Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,475 @ 22¢ — No one announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 1.1¢ — Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $117 @ 90¢ — Will Chip Wilson win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $823 @ 90¢ — Will there be a power grid emergency in the Central US before October 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,626 @ 95¢ — Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $718 @ 4.2¢ — Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $454 @ 33.6¢ — Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 6.9¢ — Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $0 @ 1.2¢ — Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $157 @ 22.5¢ — Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $259 @ 14¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,081 @ 52¢ — Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,179 @ 69.5¢ — CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $405 @ 95¢ — Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $429 @ 63.6¢ — Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $305 @ 78.4¢ — Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $153 @ 11¢ — Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $133 @ 87.7¢ — Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $113 @ 77.3¢ — Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 94¢ — House favorite on November 2 wins the election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $317 @ 27¢ — Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $194 @ 24.1¢ — Will KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $217 @ 51¢ — Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $296 @ 51¢ — Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14 @ 72¢ — Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 39¢ — Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $145 @ 80.1¢ — Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $215 @ 70.1¢ — Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $64 @ 10.3¢ — Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $410 @ 83¢ — Will Miranda Lambert win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $98 @ 61¢ — Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $93 @ 17¢ — Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $550 @ 35.5¢ — Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $352 @ 44.2¢ — Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $516 @ 57.4¢ — Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $196 @ 27¢ — Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $396 @ 51¢ — Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $482 @ 84¢ — Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,180 @ 90.9¢ — Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $625 @ 94¢ — Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 88¢ — Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $32 @ 97¢ — Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $99 @ 99.1¢ — Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,899 @ 50.2¢ — Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,348 @ 69.7¢ — Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $394 @ 68¢ — Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $165 @ 40.9¢ — Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14,169 @ 99.8¢ — Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $686 @ 74.3¢ — Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $203 @ 99¢ — Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $490 @ 49.4¢ — Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $392 @ 80.8¢ — Will Activision Blizzard Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $120 @ 20¢ — Will EFG Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $477 @ 82.4¢ — Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $145 @ 25¢ — Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $82 @ 23¢ — Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $151 @ 40.2¢ — Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $683 @ 88¢ — Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $575 @ 89¢ — Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $188 @ 90.2¢ — Will Drew Jenner win the next Clarence mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 3.4¢ — Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 3% or more? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 4.9¢ — Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 0%-3%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 5.2¢ — Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 3%-6%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $823 @ 79¢ — Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 9%-12%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $600 @ 74.3¢ — Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 12%-15%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 29¢ — Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,092 @ 46.6¢ — Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $584 @ 89.3¢ — Google announces a full training pause in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $172 @ 27.6¢ — Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $133 @ 67.3¢ — Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,466 @ 91.4¢ — Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $146 @ 84.2¢ — Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $41 @ 21.8¢ — Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 40¢ — Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43 @ 56.3¢ — Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $485 @ 91¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,174 @ 83.1¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $472 @ 71.7¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 2.9¢ — Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 55¢ — Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $84 @ 48.1¢ — Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $128 @ 18¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $447 @ 63.3¢ — Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $57 @ 81¢ — Will Luke Combs win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $144 @ 24.4¢ — Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705 · ← All whale receipts