BOUGHT Yes $18,169 @ 51¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealized
Polymarket wallet · 0xc658…b784 · “Erasmus.” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xc658…b784 — 159–59 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xc658…b784 is 159–59 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2025-12-10: 219 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$1,213,009 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Watch in this browserProfile on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Record
How the record is counted
W and L count positions held to resolution: a win when the outcome held received the payout. Positions sold before resolution are exited early and are never wins or losses; a split payout is void. Research, not advice.
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 159 | 59 | 1 | 655 | 18 |
| Politics | 80 | 28 | 0 | 293 | 5 |
| Other | 61 | 26 | 1 | 287 | 9 |
| Economy | 9 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 4 |
| Culture | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| Crypto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| Tech | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
+$1,213,009realized, as reported by Polymarket’s data API
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Unrealized on open positions: +$48,598 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
A fill is correct when the side it bought paid out at resolution (or the side it sold did not), incorrect otherwise, and open until the market resolves. A grade is a fact about one fill: not a profit, and not a recommendation.
1,001 fills on record since 2025-12-10; the newest 300 shown.
BOUGHT No $694 @ 46¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,887 @ 45.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $43,834 @ 48¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,375 @ 44¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,829 @ 44.8¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $663 @ 44¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,555 @ 43¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $88 @ 43¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,638 @ 40¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 40¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,598 @ 60.7¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,215 @ 34.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,978 @ 64.5¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $944 @ 36.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $670 @ 67¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $505 @ 66¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25,244 @ 66¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,500 @ 65¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,821 @ 64¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19,200 @ 64¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $330 @ 65¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $650 @ 65¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $660 @ 66¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $31,864 @ 63.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,400 @ 62¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,290 @ 47¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,773 @ 88¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $44,787 @ 88¢ — Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,788 @ 48¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15,972 @ 48¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,016 @ 47.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,685 @ 47¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,266 @ 47¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,660 @ 47¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $611 @ 47¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,511 @ 47¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,189 @ 47¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,927 @ 46¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,580 @ 46¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,600 @ 46¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $450 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $450 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $453 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,189 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,057 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,165 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,798 @ 44.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25,000 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,000 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,240 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,756 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,782 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,718 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,000 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,213 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,177 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $762 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,238 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,267 @ 49¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,988 @ 49¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $273 @ 49¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,128 @ 49¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,772 @ 49¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $646 @ 49¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $227 @ 48.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,669 @ 49¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,839 @ 49¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,623 @ 48¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,022 @ 48¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $480 @ 48¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $117 @ 47¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,282 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,907 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,313 @ 45¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $824 @ 45¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $440 @ 44¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,657 @ 41.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,539 @ 42¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $973 @ 40¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $271 @ 40¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $460 @ 40¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,927 @ 40¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,249 @ 40¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,950 @ 39¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $979 @ 39¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $186 @ 39¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,900 @ 39¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $820 @ 39¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,947 @ 38¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $863 @ 38¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,743 @ 37.4¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,152 @ 41.5¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $194 @ 38¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,214 @ 38¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $929 @ 65¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 64¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,185 @ 64¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,165 @ 63.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,124 @ 63¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,294 @ 62¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,837 @ 62¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,298 @ 62¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,474 @ 64¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,673 @ 64¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $79,292 @ 88¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23,342 @ 10¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $22,280 @ 88¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47,676 @ 87¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $22,062 @ 87¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $876 @ 13¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $42,094 @ 87¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $102,000 @ 85¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $125,868 @ 81¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,190 @ 34¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,190 @ 34¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $37,129 @ 79.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42,706 @ 80¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,800 @ 78¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $64,012 @ 79¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,243 @ 79¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $77,000 @ 77¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,441 @ 80¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,109 @ 59¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,380 @ 59¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,275 @ 59¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,155 @ 33¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,226 @ 59¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20,363 @ 58.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,554 @ 66¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,248 @ 32.5¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,500 @ 65¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $75,779 @ 64.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,422 @ 65¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,320 @ 64¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19,099 @ 54¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $881 @ 54¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,265 @ 53¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,349 @ 53¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,550 @ 31¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,844 @ 53¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,240 @ 31¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,600 @ 52¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,550 @ 51¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,960 @ 29.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22,508 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47,492 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,200 @ 42¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20,500 @ 41¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $44,173 @ 41¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,023 @ 41¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21,114 @ 58.3¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $37,628 @ 59¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,416 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19,691 @ 50¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,404 @ 93¢ — Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $197 @ 9.8¢ — US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $46,065 @ 75.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,092 @ 75.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $39,027 @ 74.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,763 @ 74.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $61,757 @ 74.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,693 @ 74.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,659 @ 74.2¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $52,908 @ 74.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $183,750 @ 73.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $183,747 @ 73.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,440 @ 24¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $352 @ 23.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,106 @ 24.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,825 @ 24.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,495 @ 23¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92,486 @ 18.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $37,950 @ 19¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $42,224 @ 21.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26,800 @ 26.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26,850 @ 26.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,443 @ 26.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13,492 @ 27¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26,398 @ 26.4¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $26,737 @ 26.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26,517 @ 26.5¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,247 @ 18.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,729 @ 23¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $55,866 @ 20¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $18,905 @ 93¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $78,560 @ 93.3¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $69,782 @ 82.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $599 @ 9¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Max Holloway $101,141 @ 71¢ — UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,985 @ 13¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,317 @ 9¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Max Holloway $6,700 @ 67¢ — UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Max Holloway $129,229 @ 66¢ — UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15,450 @ 76¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,098 @ 34¢ — Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $415 @ 31¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,755 @ 28.5¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6,205 @ 31.8¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $591 @ 45¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,293 @ 49¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,100 @ 42¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,012 @ 47.2¢ — Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,843 @ 40¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,708 @ 68¢ — Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $4,726 @ 32¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $59,745 @ 49¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $300 @ 50¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,195 @ 29¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $45,245 @ 87¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $349,300 @ 99.8¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,198 @ 72¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,200 @ 72¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,015 @ 70¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,722 @ 69.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25,315 @ 26.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,230 @ 28.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $2,370 @ 29¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,172 @ 65¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,370 @ 63.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,292 @ 27.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $11,577 @ 58.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,856 @ 46.4¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,900 @ 79¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,779 @ 78.8¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,284 @ 61.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,076 @ 52.1¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $40,041 @ 77¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,234 @ 60¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,323 @ 32.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $340 @ 30¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,601 @ 60¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $819 @ 44¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,880 @ 23¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,393 @ 68¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,001 @ 45¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $879 @ 15¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,223 @ 37¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,984 @ 20¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $5,680 @ 35¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,275 @ 13.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $238 @ 23¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,452 @ 44.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $399 @ 24¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,444 @ 16¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,562 @ 40.8¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $659 @ 40¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,182 @ 39.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,085 @ 41.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,127 @ 35.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,350 @ 20¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $903 @ 33.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,297 @ 18.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,942 @ 36¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,883 @ 34.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,604 @ 15.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $30,000 @ 30¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,463 @ 35¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,151 @ 12¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,024 @ 42¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,935 @ 33¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,192 @ 16¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,096 @ 42¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $735 @ 41¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $4,085 @ 74¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,439 @ 33¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,301 @ 12.8¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $695 @ 42¢ — Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $417 @ 11.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,549 @ 30¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,468 @ 21¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,055 @ 38.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,566 @ 72¢ — US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,228 @ 54.2¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $492 @ 40.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,991 @ 74¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,323 @ 34¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,330 @ 16.2¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,090 @ 39¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,793 @ 18¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $929 @ 17¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $3,306 @ 14¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,037 @ 37¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $10,282 @ 13¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,327 @ 23¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,696 @ 3.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,484 @ 3.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $5,154 @ 26¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,067 @ 39¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $696 @ 14¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20,535 @ 6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $100 @ 6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $2,647 @ 27¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,182 @ 6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,584 @ 6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $766 @ 2.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $837 @ 19¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,022 @ 12.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $571 @ 27.9¢ — US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,327 @ 40.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784 · ← All whale receipts