BOUGHT Aurora $10,396 @ 99.9¢ — Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0xcc77…c035 · “depresssin” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xcc77…c035 — 260–29 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xcc77…c035 is 260–29 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2025-10-25: 289 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$23,059 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 659 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 260 | 29 | 0 | 1451 | 5 |
| Other | 211 | 20 | 0 | 1009 | 5 |
| Sports | 40 | 4 | 0 | 146 | 0 |
| Politics | 7 | 2 | 0 | 168 | 0 |
| Tech | 1 | 3 | 0 | 64 | 0 |
| Culture | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| Crypto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| Economy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$3 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
659 fills on record since 2025-10-25; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Aurora $12,176 @ 99.9¢ — Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Karmine Corp $13,731 @ 99.9¢ — Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG - Map 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yuhan Wang $5 @ 99.9¢ — Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Adrian Mannarino $13,174 @ 99.9¢ — China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Galions $37,773 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
resolved Galions correct ✓BOUGHT Team Liquid $43,179 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Team Liquid correct ✓BOUGHT Over $12,437 @ 99.9¢ — Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)
resolved Over correct ✓BOUGHT Aurora $1,446 @ 99.7¢ — Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Aurora $7,003 @ 99.9¢ — Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Xtreme Gaming $15,915 @ 99.9¢ — Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Aurora $1,360 @ 99.8¢ — Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage (opens in a new tab)
resolved Aurora correct ✓BOUGHT Over $100 @ 99.9¢ — Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Vitality $259 @ 99.9¢ — Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
resolved Vitality correct ✓SOLD ALKA $12,599 @ 99.9¢ — Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $40 @ 99.8¢ — Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $23 @ 0.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $270 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $7 @ 0.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $64 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $196 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $22 @ 0.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 0.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,173 @ 99.9¢ — Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $180 @ 0.9¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $160 @ 0.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $80 @ 0.8¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $59 @ 0.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $40 @ 0.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $20 @ 0.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $40 @ 0.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $49 @ 99.9¢ — Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Legacy $191 @ 86¢ — Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Legacy incorrect ✗SOLD Anyones Legend $7,921 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Anyones Legend $69,267 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Anyones Legend $29,936 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $271 @ 0.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Over $7 @ 99.9¢ — Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $921 @ 99.9¢ — Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD FURIA $1,935 @ 95¢ — Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
resolved FURIA incorrect ✗SOLD TYLOO $1 @ 16¢ — Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Atlanta Braves $5 @ 99.9¢ — Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $42 @ 99.9¢ — RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Spirit $137 @ 80¢ — Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Team Falcons $15,101 @ 99.9¢ — Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT 3DMAX $3,636 @ 99.9¢ — Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Andrey Rublev $210 @ 85¢ — US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Legacy $17 @ 15¢ — Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT FUT Esports $102 @ 99.9¢ — Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Natus Vincere $1 @ 23¢ — Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)
resolved G2 correct ✓BOUGHT Under $3,757 @ 99.9¢ — Juventus FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Parma Calcio 1913 $5 @ 99.9¢ — Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $109 @ 99.9¢ — BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Lynn Vision $9 @ 23¢ — Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Lynn Vision $78 @ 23¢ — Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 2¢ — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 5¢ — Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 43¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 0.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT BNK FEARX $39,802 @ 99.9¢ — LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD M80 $10 @ 19¢ — Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)
resolved FURIA correct ✓SOLD No $10 @ 49¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD paiN $1,455 @ 19¢ — Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Invictus Gaming $5,605 @ 97¢ — LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $31 @ 99.9¢ — Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $5 @ 99.9¢ — AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Legacy $350 @ 69¢ — Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
resolved Legacy correct ✓SOLD 9z $76 @ 15¢ — Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $5 @ 99.9¢ — Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Over $4 @ 99.9¢ — Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)
resolved Over correct ✓SOLD M80 $373 @ 30¢ — Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD M80 $2 @ 8¢ — Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT M80 $229 @ 8¢ — Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD KT Rolster $3,050 @ 61¢ — LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD FUT Esports $54 @ 11¢ — Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 5¢ — Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT TEAM VISION $917 @ 32¢ — Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Team Spirit incorrect ✗SOLD Team Spirit $70 @ 70¢ — Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Team Spirit incorrect ✗SOLD Team Spirit $9 @ 44¢ — Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Team Spirit $3,350 @ 67¢ — Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved Team Spirit correct ✓SOLD No $65 @ 85.1¢ — Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,056 @ 96¢ — New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99.9¢ — Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Team Falcons $271 @ 98.6¢ — Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)
resolved Team Falcons correct ✓BOUGHT No $15 @ 99.9¢ — Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD FURIA $895 @ 59¢ — Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved FURIA incorrect ✗SOLD FURIA $116 @ 59¢ — Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved FURIA incorrect ✗SOLD G2 $207 @ 68¢ — Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT LNG Esports $916 @ 37¢ — LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Weibo Gaming $6,503 @ 65¢ — LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $411 @ 99.9¢ — Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Mirra Andreeva $5 @ 97.5¢ — Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva (opens in a new tab)
resolved Mirra Andreeva incorrect ✗SOLD Mirra Andreeva $61 @ 97.5¢ — Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva (opens in a new tab)
resolved Mirra Andreeva incorrect ✗BOUGHT Mirra Andreeva $29 @ 96¢ — Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva (opens in a new tab)
resolved Mirra Andreeva correct ✓BOUGHT Mirra Andreeva $7 @ 95¢ — Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva (opens in a new tab)
resolved Mirra Andreeva correct ✓BOUGHT Mirra Andreeva $16 @ 93¢ — Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreeva (opens in a new tab)
resolved Mirra Andreeva correct ✓BOUGHT Natus Vincere $23 @ 87¢ — LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season (opens in a new tab)
resolved Natus Vincere correct ✓BOUGHT DN SOOPers $830 @ 83¢ — LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
resolved DN SOOPers correct ✓BOUGHT No $89 @ 99.9¢ — Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT MIBR $153 @ 18¢ — Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT TheMongolz $6,560 @ 82¢ — Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D (opens in a new tab)
resolved TheMongolz correct ✓BOUGHT Iron Wing $1,640 @ 82¢ — Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Aurora $3 @ 28¢ — Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD BoomBoys $28 @ 27¢ — Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage (opens in a new tab)
resolved Aurora correct ✓BOUGHT Almeida $236 @ 99¢ — Set Handicap: Dietrich (-1.5) vs Almeida (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
resolved Almeida correct ✓BOUGHT Almeida $25 @ 99¢ — Set Handicap: Dietrich (-1.5) vs Almeida (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
resolved Almeida correct ✓BOUGHT Atlanta Dream $5 @ 99¢ — Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD TEAM VISION $372 @ 62¢ — Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage (opens in a new tab)
resolved TEAM VISION incorrect ✗SOLD Luminosity $15 @ 5¢ — Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Luminosity $29 @ 5¢ — Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD BoomBoys $28 @ 50¢ — Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stage (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $458 @ 95.5¢ — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $377 @ 97.8¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $223 @ 84¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $304 @ 99.6¢ — US government shutdown Saturday? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $979 @ 89¢ — New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 89¢ — Will 'Death Stranding 2: On the Beach' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24 @ 94¢ — Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,116 @ 97.7¢ — Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $105 @ 57¢ — Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $81 @ 81¢ — Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $34 @ 52¢ — Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 45¢ — Han Duck-soo in jail by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $20 @ 20¢ — Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $18 @ 9¢ — Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 23¢ — Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $3 @ 4¢ — Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $5 @ 5¢ — Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $12 @ 24¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $17 @ 76¢ — Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $59 @ 74¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 4¢ — Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $16 @ 52¢ — Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 20¢ — Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $39 @ 88¢ — Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $16 @ 8¢ — Spain snap election called in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18 @ 52¢ — Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $0 @ 0.2¢ — Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $8 @ 20¢ — Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $3 @ 37¢ — Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $4 @ 81¢ — Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $13 @ 63¢ — Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 34¢ — Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $46 @ 31¢ — Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $49 @ 80¢ — Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $14 @ 44¢ — Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $32 @ 76¢ — Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $25 @ 20¢ — Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $35 @ 43¢ — Park Sung-jae in jail by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $37 @ 37¢ — Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 25¢ — Discord IPO in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 48¢ — Will Shutterstock (SSTK) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $28 @ 33¢ — Starmer out by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 52¢ — Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $20 @ 60¢ — Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $4 @ 35¢ — No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $16 @ 28¢ — Tech Release Parlay (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $74 @ 78¢ — Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $24 @ 12¢ — Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $7 @ 8¢ — Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 62¢ — Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $150 @ 86¢ — Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $112 @ 89¢ — Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 1.2¢ — Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 18¢ — Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $23 @ 87¢ — Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.5¢ — Up Only podcast released by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $30 @ 69¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $67 @ 84¢ — French election called by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $61 @ 37¢ — Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1 @ 2.2¢ — Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $77 @ 43¢ — Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $25 @ 73¢ — Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 6¢ — Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $32 @ 53¢ — Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18 @ 36¢ — Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $21 @ 18¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 0.5¢ — Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $85 @ 44¢ — Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $71 @ 80¢ — Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $17 @ 87¢ — French election called by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $2 @ 11¢ — U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $55 @ 46¢ — Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $29 @ 19¢ — French election called by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $5 @ 21¢ — French election called by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $24 @ 47¢ — Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $50 @ 25¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $31 @ 16¢ — Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $1 @ 2.1¢ — Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $34 @ 78¢ — Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 70¢ — Up Only podcast released by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $18 @ 71¢ — Up Only podcast released by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $23 @ 41¢ — Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 34¢ — Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $9 @ 41¢ — Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 45¢ — Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $27 @ 84¢ — Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 43¢ — Will Zama launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4 @ 20¢ — Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $28 @ 35¢ — GTA VI released before June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $55 @ 28¢ — Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $21 @ 44¢ — Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournament (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 42¢ — Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournament (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 31¢ — Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $10 @ 79¢ — Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $79 @ 44¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $10 @ 48¢ — Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $75 @ 42¢ — Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $15 @ 49¢ — Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $10 @ 5¢ — Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10 @ 12¢ — Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $26 @ 24¢ — Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $12 @ 6¢ — Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $89 @ 89¢ — Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $108 @ 54¢ — Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 8¢ — Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 78¢ — Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 33¢ — Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $90 @ 69¢ — Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $2 @ 1¢ — Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.2¢ — Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $124 @ 65¢ — Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $21 @ 16¢ — Will Stable launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $50 @ 25¢ — Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 37¢ — Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.3¢ — Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 17¢ — Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $47 @ 79¢ — Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $21 @ 80¢ — Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 67¢ — Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 4¢ — Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 33¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $50 @ 35¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $1 @ 5¢ — Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 19¢ — Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $24 @ 31¢ — Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $4 @ 40¢ — Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 38¢ — Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 11¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $4 @ 46¢ — Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $18 @ 42¢ — Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 3¢ — Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 7¢ — Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $17 @ 34¢ — Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $4 @ 25¢ — Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $148 @ 74¢ — Will the Government shutdown end by November 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $11 @ 42¢ — Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $36 @ 60¢ — 2025 September third hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 50¢ — Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedSOLD No $25 @ 25¢ — Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1¢ — Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.5¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $18 @ 70¢ — Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6 @ 4¢ — Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1 @ 5¢ — Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1 @ 6¢ — Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $23 @ 75¢ — Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $4 @ 86¢ — Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $34 @ 18¢ — Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $48 @ 53¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $23 @ 27¢ — Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 19¢ — Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $22 @ 11¢ — Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $12 @ 6¢ — Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14 @ 7¢ — Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $11 @ 23¢ — Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $34 @ 17¢ — Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $16 @ 8¢ — Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $108 @ 54¢ — Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $11 @ 7¢ — Will Ostium launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $86 @ 86¢ — Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10 @ 10¢ — US forces in Venezuela by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $134 @ 72¢ — U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedSOLD No $25 @ 91¢ — Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $12 @ 6¢ — Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $148 @ 74¢ — Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $84 @ 42¢ — Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $114 @ 57¢ — Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $9 @ 9¢ — Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $68 @ 34¢ — TikTok sale announced in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25 @ 23¢ — Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 1.7¢ — Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $2 @ 7¢ — ECB rate cut in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $63 @ 60¢ — Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $180 @ 90¢ — Yoon out of custody in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25 @ 45¢ — Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $25 @ 25¢ — Will FS KKR Capital (FSK) beat quarterly earnings? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 26¢ — Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $15 @ 59¢ — Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $12 @ 85¢ — Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 8¢ — Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $11 @ 44¢ — Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $73 @ 73¢ — No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $16 @ 8¢ — Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1 @ 12¢ — Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 19¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xcc77f32616a96f696a3850ad48c0e378eddcc035 · ← All whale receipts