PolymarketOtherOpen

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

6¢+1567

last trade · closes 2027-01-01

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24h volume$229
Open interest$58.7K
Lifetime volume$2.1M

Quick answers

Where is "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 6¢ (+1567). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?" settle?
Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid14%7%0%Oct 26 00:13 UTCNov 01 22:02 UTC

200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

hard deadline December 31, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
Who decides
The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
When
Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 6¢ you pay $6.58 in fees on Kalshi

    0.39¢ per contract · 1666 contracts

  • On $100 at 6¢ you pay $4.70 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.28¢ per contract · 1666 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
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Why the board stays free
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Data: Polymarket id 0xe67c947bf8eeb8dffdeea19806cf266fe65f6d20f3e5bbf5135e11e544fe9b7f · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

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