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PolymarketSportsOpenResolved Bills

Bills vs. Rams

59¢−144

last trade · resolved 2026-10-13

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$4.3M
Open interest$442.6K
Lifetime volume$4.3M

Quick answers

Where is "Bills vs. Rams" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 59¢ (−144). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Bills vs. Rams" settle?
Already settled: resolved Bills on 2026-10-13.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%66%33%Oct 07 00:05 UTCOct 13 04:12 UTC

195 archived bid/ask quotes for "Bills vs. Rams" on Polymarket, 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

62 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $229,871. Bought: Bills $1,940,647 · Rams $1,508,933.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game.
Who decides
https://www.nfl.com/scores
When
Closes 2026-10-13.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game. This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution

Resolved Bills on 2026-10-13.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 59¢ you pay $2.87 in fees on Kalshi

    1.69¢ per contract · 169 contracts

  • On $100 at 59¢ you pay $2.04 in fees on Polymarket US

    1.21¢ per contract · 169 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (11,258 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 448,772 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0x587a72a6a00a6e395178fcab9bf4398f5f15bb9b87c25c0dc3e1aef342c4f125 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.

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