KalshiOtherFinalized

Brendan Allen wins

99¢

last trade · closes 2026-10-11

Open on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$2.9M
Open interest$1.9M
Lifetime volume$2.9M

Quick answers

Where is "Brendan Allen wins" cheaper right now?
Kalshi last trade 99¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Brendan Allen wins" settle?
Closes 2026-10-11. Pays Yes when: If Brendan Allen wins the Allen vs Duncan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%50%0%Oct 05 18:38 UTCOct 11 19:28 UTC

187 archived bid/ask quotes for "Brendan Allen wins" on Kalshi, 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11.

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Brendan Allen wins the Allen vs Duncan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-10-11.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Brendan Allen wins the Allen vs Duncan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Allen vs Duncan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.07 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 101 contracts

  • On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.05 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 101 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (11,913 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 719,831 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Kalshi id KXUFCFIGHT-26OCT10ALLDUN-ALL · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.