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China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic

0.1¢

last trade · closes 2026-10-11

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24h volume$1.8M
Open interest$1.3M
Lifetime volume$1.8M

Quick answers

Where is "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic" settle?
Closes 2026-10-11. Pays Yes when: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%50%0%Oct 03 17:06 UTCOct 04 13:54 UTC

173 archived bid/ask quotes for "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic" on Polymarket, 2026-10-03 to 2026-10-04.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

34 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $61,996. Bought: Alexander Zverev $406,782 · Novak Djokovic $314,835.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

hard deadline October 18, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
Who decides
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour.
Venue’s stated source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
When
Closes 2026-10-11.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 2 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,316 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 20,238,628 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
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Data: Polymarket id 0x6f6f877fcea81db41b0c433f19f64716c12f23df8edcae623111244c15d9ce10 · ← All tracked markets

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