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PolymarketOtherOpenResolved Aurora Gaming

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

99.9¢

last trade · resolved 2026-10-18

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$1.7M
Open interest$1.5M
Lifetime volume$1.7M

Quick answers

Where is "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 99.9¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs" settle?
Already settled: resolved Aurora Gaming on 2026-10-18.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%55%11%Oct 17 21:07 UTCOct 18 15:27 UTC

153 archived bid/ask quotes for "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs" on Polymarket, 2026-10-17 to 2026-10-18.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

52 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $27,395. Bought: Aurora Gaming $226,472 · Team Falcons $173,235.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

hard deadline November 1, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Team Falcons in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.
Who decides
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from…
Venue’s stated source
https://hltv.org
When
Closes 2026-10-18.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Team Falcons in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution

Resolved Aurora Gaming on 2026-10-18.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.07 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 101 contracts

  • On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.05 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 101 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (18,136 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 366,241 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
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Data: Polymarket id 0xa650f9207c7700a55f1e68201de21bf6d1483970d5fd78db4defd405ace247f5 · ← All tracked markets

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