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PolymarketOtherOpenResolved Astralis

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

1.2¢

last trade · resolved 2026-10-04

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$2.2M
Open interest$475.9K
Lifetime volume$2.2M

Quick answers

Where is "Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 1.2¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs" settle?
Already settled: resolved Astralis on 2026-10-04.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid60%30%0%Oct 04 15:32 UTCOct 04 20:32 UTC

14 archived bid/ask quotes for "Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs" on Polymarket, 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-04.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

28 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $386,431. Bought: Astralis $998,159 · Nemiga $403,525.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

hard deadline October 18, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Nemiga and Astralis in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Who decides
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from…
Venue’s stated source
https://hltv.org
When
Closes 2026-10-04.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Nemiga and Astralis in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Nemiga. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Heads up: Polymarket has 2 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

Resolution

Resolved Astralis on 2026-10-04.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,837 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 13,959,065 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
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Data: Polymarket id 0x633b275d40dc8424e532838d414614dbafe811169ec42bd75c4634248b8a81d0 · ← All tracked markets

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