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PolymarketOtherOpenResolved PARIVISION

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

69¢−223

last trade · resolved 2026-10-07

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$1.9M
Open interest$46.6K
Lifetime volume$1.9M

Quick answers

Where is "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 69¢ (−223). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage" settle?
Already settled: resolved PARIVISION on 2026-10-07.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%53%7%Oct 06 23:16 UTCOct 07 18:10 UTC

66 archived bid/ask quotes for "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage" on Polymarket, 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-07.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

52 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $63,872. Bought: Natus Vincere $434,765 · PARIVISION $331,770.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

hard deadline October 21, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between PARIVISION and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET.
Who decides
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from…
Venue’s stated source
https://hltv.org
When
Closes 2026-10-07.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between PARIVISION and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution

Resolved PARIVISION on 2026-10-07.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 69¢ you pay $2.16 in fees on Kalshi

    1.50¢ per contract · 144 contracts

  • On $100 at 69¢ you pay $1.54 in fees on Polymarket US

    1.07¢ per contract · 144 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (14,960 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 471,380 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
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Data: Polymarket id 0xb4a2d266a6712fe83ce019e661a4d63f53aa16d01bda52bc5bde1695c30ffd9e · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

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