PolymarketOtherOpenResolved Vitality

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

79¢−376

last trade · resolved 2026-10-11

Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$1.7M
Open interest$283.6K
Lifetime volume$1.7M

Quick answers

Where is "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 79¢ (−376). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs" settle?
Already settled: resolved Vitality on 2026-10-11.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%79%58%Oct 10 21:31 UTCOct 11 18:21 UTC

170 archived bid/ask quotes for "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs" on Polymarket, 2026-10-10 to 2026-10-11.

Smart money

What smart money means here
Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

36 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $74,283. Bought: Vitality $702,554 · MOUZ $346,548.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

hard deadline October 25, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
Who decides
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from…
Venue’s stated source
https://hltv.org
When
Closes 2026-10-11.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

Resolution

Resolved Vitality on 2026-10-11.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 79¢ you pay $1.47 in fees on Kalshi

    1.16¢ per contract · 126 contracts

  • On $100 at 79¢ you pay $1.05 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.83¢ per contract · 126 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (17,146 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 307,591 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0x3943945fd82044fca981b3e7312489aeedfbca1235cdb3f1d4144fbb2a29843a · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.