PolymarketOtherOpen

Florida vs. Missouri

17¢+488

last trade · closes 2026-10-03

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24h volume$1.8M
Open interest$200.2K
Lifetime volume$1.8M

Quick answers

Where is "Florida vs. Missouri" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 17¢ (+488). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Florida vs. Missouri" settle?
Closes 2026-10-03. Pays Yes when: In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Missouri, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid84%48%11%Sep 27 00:00 UTCOct 03 21:45 UTC

176 archived bid/ask quotes for "Florida vs. Missouri" on Polymarket, 2026-09-27 to 2026-10-03.

Smart money

What smart money means here
Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

12 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $78,772. Bought: Florida $587,494 · Missouri $519,334.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Missouri, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game.
Who decides
https://www.ncaa.com/
When
Closes 2026-10-03.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Missouri, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 17¢ you pay $5.81 in fees on Kalshi

    0.99¢ per contract · 588 contracts

  • On $100 at 17¢ you pay $4.15 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.71¢ per contract · 588 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,806 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 22,818,833 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0xb4aff9957f15ff9dd5d6f073f9a82b7293950a522f22c7a0790171f55796ae93 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.