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Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

1.7¢

last trade · closes 2027-01-01

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24h volume$4
Open interest$10.8K
Lifetime volume$2.8M

Quick answers

Where is "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 1.7¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?" settle?
Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Oct 26 00:13 UTCNov 01 22:02 UTC

200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

hard deadline December 31, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Who decides
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 2¢ you pay $6.86 in fees on Kalshi

    0.14¢ per contract · 5000 contracts

  • On $100 at 2¢ you pay $4.90 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.10¢ per contract · 5000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
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Data: Polymarket id 0x2fa7fc0460e9459d52c5864e8b5d64b4b984e2e39001e4b83c2c3e50949befe7 · ← All tracked markets

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