KalshiSportsFinalized
Juan Sebastian Osorio wins
1¢
Quick answers
- Where is "Juan Sebastian Osorio wins" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Juan Sebastian Osorio wins" settle?
- Closes 2026-10-08. Pays Yes when: If Juan Sebastian Osorio wins the Osorio vs Bini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Quito Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
146 archived bid/ask quotes for "Juan Sebastian Osorio wins" on Kalshi, 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-09.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Juan Sebastian Osorio wins the Osorio vs Bini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Quito Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2026-10-08.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Juan Sebastian Osorio wins the Osorio vs Bini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Quito Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Osorio vs Bini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Quito Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,160 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 498,019 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXITFMATCH-26OCT08OSOBIN-OSO · ← All tracked markets