PolymarketSportsOpenResolved Warriors
Lakers vs. Warriors
74¢−285
Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues
Quick answers
- Where is "Lakers vs. Warriors" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 74¢ (−285). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Lakers vs. Warriors" settle?
- Already settled: resolved Warriors on 2026-10-31.
Odds history
201 archived bid/ask quotes for "Lakers vs. Warriors" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-31.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".
- Who decides
- https://www.nba.com/
- When
- Closes 2026-10-31.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
Resolution
Resolved Warriors on 2026-10-31.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 74¢ you pay $1.82 in fees on Kalshi
1.35¢ per contract · 135 contracts
On $100 at 74¢ you pay $1.30 in fees on Polymarket US
0.96¢ per contract · 135 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Why the board stays free
Data: Polymarket id 0xed91f2fcaaaa61ab7f6f0dace4892b2724660998e64fdbe86f6b8c10c0bcd20d · ← All tracked markets