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Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
18¢+456
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Quick answers
- Where is "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 18¢ (+456). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?" settle?
- Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Odds history
201 archived bid/ask quotes for "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 18¢ you pay $5.74 in fees on Kalshi
1.03¢ per contract · 555 contracts
On $100 at 18¢ you pay $4.10 in fees on Polymarket US
0.74¢ per contract · 555 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96 · ← All tracked markets