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Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4.4¢+2173
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Quick answers
- Where is "Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 4.4¢ (+2173). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?" settle?
- Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
Odds history
200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
hard deadline December 31, 2026
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $6.72 in fees on Kalshi
0.27¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $4.80 in fees on Polymarket US
0.19¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0xa0192d11031455f486dd13d43438c815e5ba135e2595039991a7d09a6b438989 · ← All tracked markets