KalshiOtherFinalized

Renato Moicano wins

1¢

last trade · closes 2026-11-01

Open on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$2.2M
Open interest$1.9M
Lifetime volume$2.4M

Quick answers

Where is "Renato Moicano wins" cheaper right now?
Kalshi last trade 1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Renato Moicano wins" settle?
Closes 2026-11-01. Pays Yes when: If Renato Moicano wins the Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%50%0%Oct 28 10:39 UTCNov 01 21:50 UTC

200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Renato Moicano wins" on Kalshi, 2026-10-28 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Renato Moicano wins the Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-11-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Renato Moicano wins the Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Kalshi id KXUFCFIGHT-26OCT31MOINOL-MOI · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.