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PolymarketSportsOpenResolved Eagles

Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)

32¢+213

last trade · resolved 2026-10-11

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$1.6M
Open interest$52.6K
Lifetime volume$1.6M

Quick answers

Where is "Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 32¢ (+213). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)" settle?
Already settled: resolved Eagles on 2026-10-11.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid57%28%0%Oct 06 00:08 UTCOct 11 17:14 UTC

191 archived bid/ask quotes for "Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)" on Polymarket, 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-11.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

20 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $547,689. Bought: Jaguars $732,685 · Eagles $668,315.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 8 or more points.
Who decides
https://www.nfl.com/scores
When
Closes 2026-10-11.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eagles". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

Resolution

Resolved Eagles on 2026-10-11.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 32¢ you pay $4.76 in fees on Kalshi

    1.52¢ per contract · 312 contracts

  • On $100 at 32¢ you pay $3.39 in fees on Polymarket US

    1.09¢ per contract · 312 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (17,146 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 307,591 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
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Data: Polymarket id 0x383e540a021a028083642be6cabd6b44e7ba28ca0ed3b43b74336425dd05a5d7 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

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