KalshiOtherFinalized

United States of America wins

99¢

last trade · closes 2026-10-07

Open on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$1.8M
Open interest$568.3K
Lifetime volume$1.8M

Quick answers

Where is "United States of America wins" cheaper right now?
Kalshi last trade 99¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "United States of America wins" settle?
Closes 2026-10-07. Pays Yes when: If United States of America wins the United States of America vs Namibia men's professional Cricket World Cup League 2 cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%50%0%Oct 06 19:58 UTCOct 08 01:47 UTC

198 archived bid/ask quotes for "United States of America wins" on Kalshi, 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08.

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If United States of America wins the United States of America vs Namibia men's professional Cricket World Cup League 2 cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-10-07.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If United States of America wins the United States of America vs Namibia men's professional Cricket World Cup League 2 cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the United States of America vs Namibia men's professional Cricket World Cup League 2 cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT ends in a tie, draw, no result (NR), abandonment, or cancellation, and no official winner is declared, all markets will resolve to $0.50. In the event of a forfeit, disqualification, or concession: If it occurs before the match begins, all markets will resolve to $0.50. If it occurs after the match has begun, and the governing body declares an official winner, the market will resolve based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets will resolve to $0.50. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.07 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 101 contracts

  • On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.05 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 101 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (14,960 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 471,380 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Kalshi id KXODIMATCH-26OCT071100NAMUSA-USA · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.