KalshiPoliticsActive

Who will win the next presidential election? Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9.1¢+999

last trade · closes 2029-11-07

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24h volume$12.5K
Open interest$2.5M
Lifetime volume$4.3M

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmidyesno14.3%9.2%4.1%Sep 20 06:29 UTCSep 23 07:04 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2029-11-07.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 9¢ you pay $6.37 in fees on Kalshi

    0.57¢ per contract · 1111 contracts

  • On $100 at 9¢ you pay $5.46 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.49¢ per contract · 1111 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Data: Kalshi id KXPRESPERSON-28-AOCA · ← All tracked markets