Kalshi market · KXMEDIARELEASEST-27JAN01
Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?
| Last trade | 24h volume | Lifetime volume | Open interest | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | $1.2K | $2.5M | $472.8K | 2027-01-01 |
Prices in cents per $1 contract; volumes in USD. Last trade is the most recent value our archive holds for this market.
What are the current odds for Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027??
The Kalshi market “Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?” is currently priced at 4¢ (4.0%), its last trade, and closes 2027-01-01.
Odds history
bid/ask spreadmidtrade (yes)trade (no)
How this market settles
The exact settlement rules Kalshi publishes for this market — the fine print that decides who gets paid:
If A New Episode of Stranger Things has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.
Where the result comes from: This market will close and expire early if the media is officially released.
What this bet really costs you
| Venue | Fee per contract | Total taker fee |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 0.27¢ | $0.27 |
| Polymarket US | 0.23¢ | $0.23 |
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price), Kalshi rounds the order total up to the next cent). Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees — the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Also trading on Polymarket
Our matcher links this market to the same event on Polymarket, last archived at 2.4¢ mid. Spread between the venues: 1.1¢; after estimated round-trip taker fees: 0.3¢.