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Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?

5¢+1900

last trade · closes 2027-01-01

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24h volume$2.3K
Open interest$496.9K
Lifetime volume$2.6M

Quick answers

Where is "Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?" cheaper right now?
Kalshi last trade 5¢ (+1900). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?" settle?
Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: If A New Episode of Stranger Things has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid12%6%0%Oct 26 00:11 UTCNov 01 21:57 UTC

174 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will A New Episode of Stranger Things be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If A New Episode of Stranger Things has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If A New Episode of Stranger Things has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 5¢ you pay $6.65 in fees on Kalshi

    0.33¢ per contract · 2000 contracts

  • On $100 at 5¢ you pay $4.75 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.24¢ per contract · 2000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Kalshi id KXMEDIARELEASEST-27JAN01 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.