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Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?
1.4¢
Quick answers
- Where is "Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 1.4¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?" settle?
- Closes 2027-11-03. Pays Yes when: If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
166 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.
How this market settles
can settle early
- Pays Yes when
- If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-11-03.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 270,036 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXCAWEALTHTAX-26 · ← All tracked markets