KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
2.9¢
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Abdul El-Sayed be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 2.9¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Abdul El-Sayed be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?" settle?
- Closes 2028-11-07. Pays Yes when: If Abdul El-Sayed wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
8 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Abdul El-Sayed be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?" on Kalshi, 2026-11-05 to 2026-11-05.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Abdul El-Sayed wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- This market will close after the Democratic party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-07.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Abdul El-Sayed wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 3¢ you pay $6.79 in fees on Kalshi
0.20¢ per contract · 3333 contracts
On $100 at 3¢ you pay $4.85 in fees on Polymarket US
0.15¢ per contract · 3333 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 270,036 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXPRESNOMD-28-AELS · ← All tracked markets