PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

1.3¢

last trade · closes 2026-10-25

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24h volume$8.4K
Open interest$74.4K
Lifetime volume$2.6M

Quick answers

Where is "Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 1.3¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?" settle?
Closes 2026-10-25. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.2%5.1%0.0%Oct 26 00:00 UTCNov 01 22:04 UTC

201 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

hard deadline June 30, 2028

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
When
Closes 2026-10-25.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
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Data: Polymarket id 0x9639a6a92c4b2a434ee674c104c7f4660340663b91e418e2be1ee4377971aa32 · ← All tracked markets

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