Kalshi market · KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
| Last trade | 24h volume | Lifetime volume | Open interest | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | $10.7K | $9.3M | $4.7M | 2028-11-07 |
Prices in cents per $1 contract; volumes in USD. Last trade is the most recent value our archive holds for this market.
What are the current odds for Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028??
The Kalshi market “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?” is currently priced at 16¢ (16.0%), its last trade, and closes 2028-11-07.
Odds history
bid/ask spreadmidtrade (yes)trade (no)
How this market settles
The exact settlement rules Kalshi publishes for this market — the fine print that decides who gets paid:
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Where the result comes from: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.
What this bet really costs you
| Venue | Fee per contract | Total taker fee |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 0.94¢ | $0.94 |
| Polymarket US | 0.81¢ | $0.81 |
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price), Kalshi rounds the order total up to the next cent). Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees — the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Also trading on Polymarket
Our matcher links this market to the same event on Polymarket, last archived at 10¢ mid. Spread between the venues: 5.5¢; after estimated round-trip taker fees: 2.6¢.