KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
13¢+669
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 13¢ (+669). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?" settle?
- Closes 2028-11-07. Pays Yes when: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
179 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- This market will close after the Democratic party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-07.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 13¢ you pay $6.09 in fees on Kalshi
0.79¢ per contract · 769 contracts
On $100 at 13¢ you pay $4.35 in fees on Polymarket US
0.57¢ per contract · 769 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Why the board stays free
Data: Kalshi id KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC · ← All tracked markets