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Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3.5¢+2757
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Quick answers
- Where is "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 3.5¢ (+2757). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" settle?
- Closes 2028-11-08. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
Odds history
194 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-08.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $6.72 in fees on Kalshi
0.27¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $4.80 in fees on Polymarket US
0.19¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0x1d519b87999e3d4e90e1e8f57b5eee73a0ba488ff3fdb70867f294733aba84a9 · ← All tracked markets