KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
4.5¢+2122
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 4.5¢ (+2122). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?" settle?
- Closes 2027-11-03. Pays Yes when: If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
141 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-31 to 2026-11-06.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-11-03.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 5¢ you pay $6.65 in fees on Kalshi
0.33¢ per contract · 2000 contracts
On $100 at 5¢ you pay $4.75 in fees on Polymarket US
0.24¢ per contract · 2000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (14,782 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 435,841 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXAKSENATE-26NOV03-DSUL · ← All tracked markets