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Kalshi market · CONTROLH-2026-D

Will Democrats win the House in 2026?

Politicsactive

Last trade24h volumeLifetime volumeOpen interestCloses
90.5¢$397.7K$12.1M$8.1M2027-02-01

Prices in cents per $1 contract; volumes in USD. Last trade is the most recent value our archive holds for this market.

What are the current odds for Will Democrats win the House in 2026??

The Kalshi market “Will Democrats win the House in 2026?” is currently priced at 90.5¢ (90.5%), its last trade, and closes 2027-02-01.

Odds history

Implied odds over time100%0%Sep 20 06:07 UTCSep 20 06:07 UTC

bid/ask spreadmidtrade (yes)trade (no)

How this market settles

The exact settlement rules Kalshi publishes for this market — the fine print that decides who gets paid:

If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.

What this bet really costs you

VenueFee per contractTotal taker fee
Kalshi0.57¢$0.57
Polymarket US0.49¢$0.49

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price), Kalshi rounds the order total up to the next cent). Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees — the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Also trading on Polymarket

Our matcher links this market to the same event on Polymarket, last archived at 96.6¢ mid. Spread between the venues: 6.3¢; after estimated round-trip taker fees: 4.7¢.

All cross-venue matched pairs and the fee formula

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