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Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?

0.9¢

last trade · closes 2027-01-01

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$6.2K
Open interest$34.2K
Lifetime volume$1.6M

Quick answers

Where is "Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 0.9¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?" settle?
Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Nov 01 00:23 UTCNov 07 00:08 UTC

137 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?" on Polymarket, 2026-11-01 to 2026-11-07.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

2 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $20. Bought: No $20 · Yes $18.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.
Who decides
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,171 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 237,279 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0xea96140746679016b3b848b6e690b2dba05c1be1bac6db282d94413b2f28d303 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.

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