KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
42¢+138
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 42¢ (+138). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?" settle?
- Closes 2027-10-27. Pays Yes when: If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
153 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the…
- When
- Closes 2027-10-27.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 42¢ you pay $4.06 in fees on Kalshi
1.71¢ per contract · 238 contracts
On $100 at 42¢ you pay $2.90 in fees on Polymarket US
1.22¢ per contract · 238 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 260,838 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GEIZ · ← All tracked markets