PolymarketOtherOpen

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

4¢+2400

last trade · closes 2027-01-01

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24h volume$10.0K
Open interest$47.3K
Lifetime volume$3.3M

Quick answers

Where is "Will GameStop acquire eBay?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 4¢ (+2400). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will GameStop acquire eBay?" settle?
Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid14%7%0%Oct 26 00:07 UTCNov 01 21:55 UTC

201 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will GameStop acquire eBay?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

hard deadline December 31, 2026

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Who decides
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 4¢ you pay $6.72 in fees on Kalshi

    0.27¢ per contract · 2500 contracts

  • On $100 at 4¢ you pay $4.80 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.19¢ per contract · 2500 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
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