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Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

2¢

last trade · closes 2027-07-01

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$119.1K
Open interest$182.3K
Lifetime volume$1.7M

Quick answers

Where is "Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 2¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?" settle?
Closes 2027-07-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Oct 30 00:00 UTCNov 05 22:55 UTC

193 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

6 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $653. Bought: No $1,763 · Yes $971.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season.
Who decides
The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2027-07-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 8 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 2¢ you pay $6.86 in fees on Kalshi

    0.14¢ per contract · 5000 contracts

  • On $100 at 2¢ you pay $4.90 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.10¢ per contract · 5000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 270,036 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
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Data: Polymarket id 0x0687236dace728be2aa72be8b802918f45de83e4ded7d0c3fa3fe9b83c83db74 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.

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