PolymarketOtherOpen

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

10¢+900

last trade · closes 2028-01-01

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24h volume$2.0M
Open interest$1.2M
Lifetime volume$2.0M

Quick answers

Where is "Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 10¢ (+900). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?" settle?
Closes 2028-01-01. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%50%0%Sep 29 15:56 UTCOct 03 21:54 UTC

190 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?" on Polymarket, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-03.

Smart money

What smart money means here
Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

14 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $1,139,100. Bought: No $1,156,793 · Yes $457,233.

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How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Who decides
The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Indiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2028-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Indiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 10¢ you pay $6.30 in fees on Kalshi

    0.63¢ per contract · 1000 contracts

  • On $100 at 10¢ you pay $4.50 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.45¢ per contract · 1000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,806 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 22,818,833 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
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Data: Polymarket id 0x90eb090b7cfb854b88e4252c9c2a74dcc875558212b71c10dc86188323e3e5c3 · ← All tracked markets

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