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Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.1¢
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Quick answers
- Where is "Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?" settle?
- Closes 2026-10-28. Pays Yes when: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election.
Odds history
184 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
hard deadline December 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- Who decides
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- When
- Closes 2026-10-28.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0x4bf44e9885ee8f43148458d5c9537d96c940cf48414557528358d65870131517 · ← All tracked markets