Kalshi market · KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV
Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
| Last trade | 24h volume | Lifetime volume | Open interest | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45¢ | $5.9K | $4.3M | $1.8M | 2028-11-07 |
Prices in cents per $1 contract; volumes in USD. Last trade is the most recent value our archive holds for this market.
What are the current odds for Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party??
The Kalshi market “Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?” is currently priced at 45¢ (45.0%), its last trade, and closes 2028-11-07.
Odds history
bid/ask spreadmidtrade (yes)trade (no)
How this market settles
The exact settlement rules Kalshi publishes for this market — the fine print that decides who gets paid:
If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Where the result comes from: This market will close after Republican nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.
What this bet really costs you
| Venue | Fee per contract | Total taker fee |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.73¢ | $1.73 |
| Polymarket US | 1.49¢ | $1.49 |
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price), Kalshi rounds the order total up to the next cent). Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees — the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Also trading on Polymarket
Our matcher links this market to the same event on Polymarket, last archived at 5.5¢ mid. Spread between the venues: 40¢; after estimated round-trip taker fees: 35.9¢.