Get alertsSign in

PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0.5¢

last trade · closes 2028-11-07

Open on PolymarketCompare across venues

24h volume$69.9K
Open interest$72.1K
Lifetime volume$1.4M

Quick answers

Where is "Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 0.5¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" settle?
Closes 2028-11-07. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Oct 30 00:00 UTCNov 05 16:20 UTC

201 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

3 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $9,990. Bought: No $23,726 · Yes $50.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
Who decides
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
When
Closes 2028-11-07.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 260,838 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0x90ba5eeb935da5a2e7d16ee635ae441f95b5b62fd0db9336eb9f8a59645bf714 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.

Open the free channelSet up personal alerts