PolymarketOtherOpen

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.1¢

last trade · closes 2026-12-06

Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$50
Open interest$140.4K
Lifetime volume$5.6M

Quick answers

Where is "Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?" settle?
Closes 2026-12-06. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Oct 26 00:06 UTCNov 01 21:55 UTC

200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

hard deadline March 31, 2027

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
Who decides
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
When
Closes 2026-12-06.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0x2cefe6009ea518f77b8a82714e54c0af1d0f25e99b37d4861f4a5d3ebbf142d3 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.