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Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1¢
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Quick answers
- Where is "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" settle?
- Closes 2028-11-08. Pays Yes when: The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Odds history
200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-08.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0xea649be6ea3447f3c145a173883c68a89faf4edda1f85109b76baa93b3ee7a87 · ← All tracked markets