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Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

25¢+300

last trade · closes 2027-06-15

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24h volume$4.3K
Open interest$342.3K
Lifetime volume$786.0K

Quick answers

Where is "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 25¢ (+300). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?" settle?
Closes 2027-06-15. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid31%23%16%Oct 30 00:20 UTCNov 05 16:20 UTC

179 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.

Smart money

Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.

7 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $4,032. Bought: No $14,896 · Yes $6,185.

All whale receipts →

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.
Who decides
The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2027-06-15.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 25¢ you pay $5.25 in fees on Kalshi

    1.31¢ per contract · 400 contracts

  • On $100 at 25¢ you pay $3.75 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.94¢ per contract · 400 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 260,838 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts
Members get every gap, fork and lag as the scan finds it, 35–55 minutes after the hour.
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Data: Polymarket id 0x8afa174c7b8a579f058e94b58af32d6eea8c5cfe5e214ca735c2f3bcc6ba78af · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

The free channel posts at the next rebuild; members' DMs arrive as the scan finds it.

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