KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
35¢+186
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 35¢ (+186). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?" settle?
- Closes 2027-11-03. Pays Yes when: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
33 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-07.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- This market will close early following the swearing in of the Senator for the seat in question.
- When
- Closes 2027-11-03.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 35¢ you pay $4.54 in fees on Kalshi
1.59¢ per contract · 285 contracts
On $100 at 35¢ you pay $0.00 in fees on Polymarket US
0.00¢ per contract · 285 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for zero_fees (10,830 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 270,250 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id SENATETX-26-R · ← All tracked markets