PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0.1¢

last trade · closes 2028-11-08

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24h volume$2.0K
Open interest$1.1M
Lifetime volume$763.6K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Sep 17 21:08 UTCSep 23 13:52 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
Who decides
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
When
Closes 2028-11-08.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Data: Polymarket id 0xb31ebc41f916ab4ac950030d62d886fd6f200e1fb8e0f9e5a1c020a8ddf431e0 · ← All tracked markets