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Yes · Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Sold $0 at 0.1¢
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Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.1¢
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24h volume$20
Open interest$236.3K
Lifetime volume$823.5K
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?" settle?
- Closes 2027-01-08. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Odds history
176 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.
Smart money
What smart money means here
Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.
2 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $1.
- Anjun$100 → $127.91
Yes · Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Sold $1 at 0.1¢
How this market settles
hard deadline January 7, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
- Who decides
- If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
- Venue’s stated source
- https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses
- When
- Closes 2027-01-08.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 260,838 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0xc9b9f89ac915385c8d77edb73872c49e5bf76e510b74b9609e74e7f8d0339df2 · ← All tracked markets