KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
2.4¢
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 2.4¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?" settle?
- Closes 2028-11-07. Pays Yes when: If Ted Cruz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
169 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Ted Cruz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- This market will close after the Republican party nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-07.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Ted Cruz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 2¢ you pay $6.86 in fees on Kalshi
0.14¢ per contract · 5000 contracts
On $100 at 2¢ you pay $4.90 in fees on Polymarket US
0.10¢ per contract · 5000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXPRESNOMR-28-TC · ← All tracked markets