KalshiPoliticsActive
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York
7¢+1329
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of New York pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- This market will close early following the first person to be sworn in as governor pursuant to the 2026 gubernatorial election.
- When
- Closes 2027-11-03.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of New York pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 7¢ you pay $6.51 in fees on Kalshi
0.46¢ per contract · 1428 contracts
On $100 at 7¢ you pay $5.58 in fees on Polymarket US
0.39¢ per contract · 1428 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id GOVPARTYNY-26-R · ← All tracked markets