Tenebrus7
Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sold $0 at 0.1¢
PolymarketPoliticsOpen
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1¢
Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues
24h volume$1.0K
Open interest$1.1M
Lifetime volume$1.1M
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" settle?
- Closes 2028-11-08. Pays Yes when: The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Odds history
176 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.
Smart money
What smart money means here
Fills of $10,000 or more by wallets the ledger tracks, as the venue's public data API reports them: who is on which side, at what price, and the price a $100 order would pay on Polymarket now. Not a tip, and not advice.
4 tracked wallets have fills here, the biggest $20.
- tetrose
Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sold $20 at 0.1¢
- tugator
Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sold $9 at 0.2¢
- AlexiosV
Yes · Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Sold $0 at 0.2¢
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-08.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Heads up: Polymarket has 1 disputed resolution in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 260,838 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0xe4caa69a6fcc3ec5656a32d2e822e8cbdc6416178eaeb87e2e2006391c62e9ec · ← All tracked markets