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Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1¢
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Quick answers
- Where is "Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?" settle?
- Closes 2026-11-04. Pays Yes when: This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will…
Odds history
200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
hard deadline July 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will…
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- When
- Closes 2026-11-04.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0x8d62f20324e9e7f1a3c663ab6aac9a2f6e7adb96c6a69ac2cea7e08a71a7f2ef · ← All tracked markets