KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Trump buy Greenland?
1.1¢
Quick answers
- Where is "Will Trump buy Greenland?" cheaper right now?
- Kalshi last trade 1.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Trump buy Greenland?" settle?
- Closes 2027-01-01. Pays Yes when: If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds history
160 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Trump buy Greenland?" on Kalshi, 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-05.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,919 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 270,036 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Kalshi id KXGREENLAND-29-27 · ← All tracked markets